Teil 7 Fundamentalanalyse – Das Trading mit Kryptowährungen

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Fundamental, Technical and Sentiment Analysis

In order to maximise gains and reduce losses, traders typically turn to fundamental, technical and sentiment analysis. While fundamental analysis tells traders about intrinsic market values, technical analysis relies on past performance of a financial instrument. The third branch, sentiment analysis, is used to determine the general attitude of traders, which shapes the overall market mood, within a specific timeframe.

Of course, there’s no absolute way to tell which way the markets will go – and due to high volatility, losses are always a possibility. But, it helps to do your research.

Fundamental Analysis

When it comes to forex trading, fundamental analysis is all about examining factors that could have an effect on currency prices. A lot depends on the central bank of each country and the expected interest rates released by them. Interest rate hikes could increase the value of a currency over the long-term. Other factors, such as GDP, inflation rate, production growth, NFP releases, and so on hold importance for commodity traders as well. The aim is to identify which economy is booming and which isn’t. The day-to-day news releases are important for fundamental traders.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysts believe that what happened in the past will influence future market movements. Forex traders rely heavily on trend and chart analysis to figure out potential price actions. Forex, being a 24-hour market, provides a huge volume of data for technical traders, who then use it to predict future activity.

Support and resistance levels are used to determine whether to buy or sell a currency. The charts usually represent historical price movements, visually. The movements on the charts, created by price actions, provide clues about the supply and demand levels of specific currencies. There are other indicators, such as oscillators, volume and trend indicators, which help in identifying price trends.

However, many traders believe that indicators do not give foolproof answers, unless combined with market fundamentals. There is no guarantee that past performance will have an effect on future results.

Sentiment Analysis

The market is not only driven by fundamentals, but also short-term sentiments, which makes currencies volatile on a day-to-day basis. It is often seen that despite long-term fundamentals showing an uptrend, a currency remains down, due to an overall ‘bad mood.’ This bad mood means that the vast majority of traders are committed to a down position, due to some reason. Such sentiments often help traders assume a particular position.

Sentiment analysts are often referred to as contrarians. These traders invest against the majority view of the market, since they believe that the markets always tend to move against the existing sentiment, sooner or later.

Sentiment trading by itself is quite risky, since it involves uninformed trades. Uninformed traders may be moving the market prices away from fundamental values. However, used in combination with other forms of analysis, it can help in getting a clearer picture.

All three approaches are important. The best approach will be based on your risk tolerance, time restrictions and goals.

Gazprom-Aktien können kurzfristig vom OPEC + -Deal profitieren

Fixierung über dem Niveau von 195 Rubel. wird den Weg zum Schließen der Lücke bei 198 Rubel öffnen. Etwas höher ist die obere Grenze des kurzfristig aufsteigenden Kanals.

Ergebnisse der Ausschreibung

Bei der vorherigen Handelssitzung Gazprom-Aktien sank um 0,96%. Der Abschluss war bei rund 192 Rubel. Das Papier sah genauso aus wie der gesamte Markt. Der Handelsumsatz belief sich auf rund 3,3 Milliarden Rubel.

Kurzfristiges Bild

Die Gazprom-Aktie zeigte auf der letzten Handelssitzung kein Hoch Flüchtigkeit aufgrund des Fehlens einer großen Anzahl westlicher Investoren vor dem Hintergrund des Ferienwochenendes. Zitate zu Beginn der Sitzung fielen auf die Unterstützung von 190 Rubel. Drawdown wurde eingelöst. Die Candlestick-Formation auf dem Tages-Chart spricht für Käufer, der Handelsumsatz war jedoch deutlich niedriger als üblich. Darüber hinaus könnten Aktien heute versuchen, die am Freitag entstandene Lücke zu schließen. Die Dynamik der Gas- und Ölpreise ist heute mäßig positiv.

Fixierung über dem Niveau von 195 Rubel. wird den Weg zum Schließen der Lücke bei 198 Rubel öffnen. Etwas höher liegt die Obergrenze des kurzfristig aufsteigenden Kanals, die im Falle einer Normalisierung der Dynamik an externen Börsen auch zum Ziel der Käufer werden kann. Derzeit weist der Trend zu riskanten Vermögenswerten auf die Möglichkeit einer Erneuerung der Korrektur hin.

Es ist erwähnenswert, dass Gazprom-Aktien in gewissem Maße unter der OPEC ++ – Transaktion leiden werden, wenn auch in geringerem Maße als andere russische Öl- und Gasunternehmen. Prime berichtet, dass die Kondensatproduktion aus den neuen OPEC ++ – Beschränkungen gestrichen wurde. Darüber hinaus machte der Verkauf von Rohöl und Kondensat im Jahr 2020 weniger als 10% des Nettoumsatzes der gesamten Gruppe aus. Aufgrund sinkender Gaspreise könnte sich der Anteil als etwas höher herausstellen. Andererseits wird die Entscheidung der Regierung, den Kauf billigerer importierter Brennstoffe zu beschränken, die Produktion und den Verkauf von Erdölprodukten während Quarantänemaßnahmen und Krisensituationen in der Wirtschaft unterstützen.

Unterdessen bleiben die Gaspreise in Europa bislang in der Nähe historischer Tiefststände. Der OPEC ++ – Deal wird vielen Schieferunternehmen helfen, über Wasser zu bleiben, was für die Produzenten von traditionellem Trockengas nicht das beste Ergebnis ist. In der gegenwärtigen fundamentalen Situation liegt die langfristige Rendite von Gazprom bei über 200 Rubel. unwahrscheinlich. Kehre unter das Niveau von 185 Rubel zurück. Erhöhen Sie die Chancen, die Tiefststände im März im Bereich von 160 bis 168 Rubel zu überprüfen, erheblich.

Externer Hintergrund

Der externe Hintergrund am Morgen ist neutral. Die US-Märkte handelten nicht, S & P 500-Futures verloren am Morgen 1,3%. Brent Oil um 4%. Asiatische Standorte befinden sich hauptsächlich im negativen Bereich. Die Futures auf Gazprom-Aktien stiegen am Abend um 0,16%. All dies gibt Anlass zu der Annahme, dass die Eröffnung unter Beibehaltung des Hintergrunds in der Nähe des Schlussniveaus des vorherigen Handelstages stattfinden wird.

  • Widerstand: 198/203/210
  • Unterstützung: 190/185/182/175

Langzeitbild

Gazprom-Zitate brachen unter der Unterstützung nahe 216 Rubel zusammen. in einer Marktpanik aufgrund der Auswirkungen des Ausbruchs des Coronavirus COVID-19. Der Ölrückgang im Zusammenhang mit dem Zusammenbruch der OPEC + Allianz führte dazu, dass die Aktien im Bereich von 175 Rubel unter die wichtige horizontale Unterstützung fielen. und auf den gleitenden Durchschnitt von 262 Wochen. Jetzt testen Aktien eine langfristige Trendlinie von etwa 185 Rubel. als Unterstützung. Zuvor war die Unterstützung der gleitende Durchschnitt von 262 Wochen. Im Falle einer Wiederaufnahme des Rückgangs wird das nächste starke Unterstützungsniveau als die Fläche von 150 Rubel angesehen.

Diese Niveaus können für langfristige Anleger von Interesse sein. Sie verstehen wahrscheinlich, dass die Folgen der Verbreitung von COVID-19 und der Ölkriege die Gaspreise auf einem relativ niedrigen Niveau halten können. Angesichts des Währungsfaktors, einer vorhersehbaren Dividendenpolitik, des Wachstums der Gaslieferungen nach China und des erwarteten Anstiegs der Gasnachfrage in Europa über mehrere Jahre hinweg sehen die aktuellen Aktienkurse von Gazprom attraktiv aus.

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Thread: Technical or Fundamental analyses.

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Technical or Fundamental analyses.

Dear forum members, I just want to know which one is the best and accurate in analysis because some traders take technical analysis seriously while other traders take fundamental analysis seriously too.

Dear friend, I think both are very important. Traders use fundamental or technical analysis when they enter the financial markets.
As the name suggests, fundamental analysis is used to find out about the basics of the economy, balance sheet, income statement, and others
On the other hand technical analysis, is concerned with studying the historical performance of price movements by measuring them on future price movements.

The forex trading gives us the opportunity to make our Market Analysis using different tools and different methods, this is a very good Advantage I must say because traders will have the choice to go with the one that they can understand very well and the one they actually wish to trade with.
To be honest the answer to the question depends on individual traders, some may prefer the technical Analysis method while others may prefer the fundamental Analysis method. What is most important is that traders should learn to go with the one that is best suited for them. If I am to give an advice, I will say you can go with both of them so as to make you a perfect trader because if you use technical analysis only, some high impact news may come up and distort the market and you may run into losses while if you use the fundamental method of Analysis only, that means your tradings may not be done frequently because news are not released round the clock. So choose the one that is best for you but if you can do both of them, that will be the best option.

For every business there are factors that determines the success of individual and so also it is in forex trading. the 3 major analysis that affects the forrx market are as follows:
1) Technical analysis
2) Fundamental analysis
3) market sentiment
One is not better than the other…they are all just different ways to look at the market.
At the end of the day, you should trade based on the type of forex analysis you are most comfortable and profitable with.
Technical analysis is the study of currency price movement on the charts while fundamental analysis takes a look at how the country’s economy is doing.
Fundamental factors shape sentiment, while technical analysis helps us visualize that sentiment and apply a framework to create our trade plans.
All of them work hand-in-hand-in-hand to help you come up with good forex trade ideas.

There are two type of analytics such as technical analytic and fundamental analytics. These two type of analytics are much important in trading as well as have a different theme to judge the trading trend. Technical analytics or the analysis of indicators candles and charts which are made by calculation and most of time effect on market and suggest a a true friend but technical analytics can be e reverse at any time. Fundamental analytics or very much importance in Forex trading because these effect on the trading market directly and increase the voility rapidly. Fundamental analytics B7 economic news meetings and press release of Central banks. If you want to become successful in trading you should too you remember these both type of analysis in your trading life.

Both technical analysis and fundamental analysis are analytical methods, that you can use to your advantage in making near accurate forecast for you trades. The technical analysis deals with the use of charts and other technical indicators to be a able to study and forecast price actions. On the other hand, fundamental analysis deals with the use of socioeconomic data, as well as political event to be able to study market forces and forecast price movement. To determine the best between the two is dependent on the type of trading style a trader uses. If you are a short term traders, you tend to gravitate towards technical analysis since it helps you to know short time price movement. On the other hand, if a long term trader, you will gravitate towards the fundamental analysis.

When it comes to comparing and choosing a methodology between the two there are two key considerations to factor in.First, the time horizon of your approach is important to consider. Fundamental analysis is a long term investment strategy whereas technical analysis is considered far more of a short term methodology.By pricing on intrinsic values fundamental analysis is working towards the long-term value of a company, whereas by trading on market trends technical analysis is short-term focused.Second, you need to consider what your investment approach is. Are you an investor or a trader? Fundamental analysis is investing in companies and relying on their underlying value to drive your returns. Technical analysis is really a trading strategy where you are aiming to drive returns out of identified trends and opportunities.Trading can take far more active time and management on the part of the investor, though major funds invest millions in sophisticated technical analysis trading software. The average individual will likely be far better served focusing on a fundamental analysis investment strategy.

My dear Forex is a large field business and in which your success depend on your knowledge and experience and how much your analysis are accurate and how you are conscious regarding forex business.
Forex success of a trader depend on technical and fundamental analysis if you are strong in your technical analysis and don’t give importance and neglect fundamental analysis then you can’t survive in the forex because it depends on the trader knowledge of both analysis and i do one more analysis sentimental and watch what are the trader thinking and what market makers next doo
my opinion forex market can base on three analysis if we have a good knowledge of three catagories then we get success in the forex other wise if we do one analysis and neglect second then we are in big loss so work hard and learn forex completely first then you earn good profit here best of luck guys

Fundamental analysis and technical analysis, the significant ways of thinking with regards to moving toward the business sectors, are at far edges of the range. The two strategies are utilized for exploring and determining future patterns in stock costs, and, similar to any speculation technique or reasoning, both have their supporters and enemies.

Fundamental analysis is a strategy for assessing protections by endeavoring to quantify the natural estimation of a stock. Fundamental investigators study everything from the general economy and industry conditions to the monetary condition and the executives of organizations. Profit, costs, resources, and liabilities are immeasurably significant attributes to fundamental examiners.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis contrasts from fundamental analysis in that the stock’s cost and volume are the main sources of info. The center supposition that will be that every single realized fundamental are figured into value, therefore there is no compelling reason to give close consideration to them. Technical examiners don’t endeavor to quantify a security’s inborn worth, however, rather, utilize stock diagrams to distinguish examples and patterns that recommend what a stock will do later on.

Technical analysis involves the use of price action and indicators (which are in the category of trend ,oscillator and volume) to detect the direction of the market while the fundamental analysis involves the use of news and the relevant data to determine the direction and the magnitude of the move.Both of them are very reliable and are quite dependent of each other.Whatever happens when there is fundamental it will end up obeying the technical.Fundamental may be very violent and risky but I am very comfortable with the technical analysis because its result is more stable and it is easier to make a projection with it

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